I'm betting against altcoins that skyrocket

I’m looking for insights into the potential pitfalls of my current strategy. I monitor my trading app for coins that have jumped over 40% in the past day and then take a short position. Despite the high volatility—at one point, I endured a 48% drop on a trade yet still managed a 2% gain—I notice these altcoins eventually decline. Can someone shed light on why this method might carry hidden risks?

hey hugo, your strat might snag you if altcoins keep surging. i’ve seen coins holding high longer than expected. try adding extra confirm signals like volume trends to avoid being caught in a reversed move

hey hugo_41cook, i find ur strategy pretty fascinating but also kinda risky if u think about it. when coinz jump 40% in a day, it might be more about shock and hype than real value, so betting against can backfire if the surge isn’t just a pump but actually built on some underlying momentum. also, i wonder if uve ever considered the role of liquidity - sometimes small cap coins can be really illiquid so price moves might not be as smooth as they appear. how do u manage sudden market reversals or news spikes? it would be cool to hear more about ur stop loss setups or any hedging moves u device to counter those nasty moves. have u thought about combining this with some trend analysis to better time the exits? curious to know more about ur overall trading framework.

Hugo, your strategy is intriguing but it’s important to consider that extreme moves often embed high uncertainty. Based on my experience, a sudden surge could reflect a transient hype rather than sustained growth, and the price correction can be unpredictable. I encountered a similar case where the coin continued rising longer than expected, leaving me exposed during the reversal. Incorporating risk management through broader market signals or a diversified approach might help mitigate potential losses. It would be beneficial to analyze the coin’s trading volume and overall market sentiment for a more balanced approach.

hey hugo, alt trades can get slippery. sometimes the hype lasts longer than u think, so missing a timely exit can cost. consider a mix of trend tracking and volume signals to adjust your short setups. and dont ignore slippage risk, it can bite hard.

hey hugo, i was reading thru your idea and it got me wondering if the surge might sometimes be a signal of a different kinda momentum rather than just a pump-and-dump setup, ya know? it seems that when altcoins jump so high, they might be riding a wave of hype which can sometimes hold longer than expected if there’s real underlying demand or even some coordinated play going on. im curious, have you ever tried tracking other factors like order book depth or market sentiment to see if that jump is genuinely sustainable? maybe a dynamic stop-loss strategy could help catch some of the reversals when the surge turns out to be more than just a flash. curious whaat your thoughts are on possibly adapting some technical indicators to balance that risk. what do you think?